There is no “Crimean crisis”. There never was. It is theater and I fell for it. I allowed myself to be fooled into believing that if every country in the west had one story and every country in the east had the opposite story, either one side was wrong, or the truth was somewhere in the middle. It has belatedly occurred to me that both sides are lying. I apologize for not grasping the fact instantly but it almost beggars belief. However, feel free to fact-check me.
I went to bed tonight and began to consider the ramifications of the sanctions the west has placed against Russia. That thought went nowhere because no sanctions have been placed against Russia. None at all. Japan placed a discussion to streamline the Japanese/Russian visa prosess on hold, but that’s not a sanction. It’s nothing. ALL of these supposed ‘sanctions’ are imaginary. They didn’t happen.
They are being reported by the press as sanctions against Russia, but I’ll bet you cannot find a real sanction by the west against Russia. I have listed the most current sanction list at the bottom of the page for your convenience.
What the west really said is that some temporary sanctions had been placed against the western-held assets and visa privileges of INDIVIDUAL RUSSIAN AND UKRANIAN CITIZENS, but that is very different from placing sanctions against Russia itself.
These people were obviously chosen, probably by Russia, because they have important-sounding titles, but neither have assets outside of Russia, nor any plans to travel outside of Russia during the six month duration of the sanctions. The only person who might have had assets in the west is the deposed Ukranian leader who was given ample time to move them if they existed at all. The west has been telegraphing these ‘sanctions’ for…what? Almost two weeks? Plenty of time to make sure they had no effect on anyone.
For their part, the Russians who were named in the ‘sanctions’ played their parts by condemning the efforts as ‘blackmail’ and ‘unacceptable provocations’ – after which they were all quite clear that they had no assets or travel plans in the west and that the sanctions are therefore meaningless.
So……what might be the purpose of issuing meaningless sanctions against individuals and NOT issuing any sanctions whatever against Russia, Ukraine or Crimea? Theater.
The US and Russia – and everyone else except the stupids (of which society I am now a member) – understands that it was merely an act to give everyone a way to save face without actually doing anything – and then baffle everyone with bullshit. I am really pissed that I went for it.
There is no crisis. There never was. Knowing that allows me to make a prediction: Russia will, over the course of the next weeks or months, establish a buffer zone in eastern Ukraine. It will eventually be about half the size of Ukraine which will be split in two at the Dnieper river with the eastern half, which contains the gas pipelines and industrialized areas, becoming part of Russia de facto if not de jure.
There will be more theater. That’s it. No country can push it any further than that. Almost 10% of McDonalds’ bottom line comes from Russia. Who do you think would win in a contest between Barack Obama and Ronald McDonald? I’m lovin’ it.
Here is a current list of the EU ‘sanctions as of this date. Scroll down to the actual ‘sanctions’ to see who is kidding whom.
BRUSSELS, March 18. The European Union has published a list of 21 sanctioned Russian and Crimean officials, the Official Journal of the European Union reported on Monday. Europe’s “black list” includes 8 Crimean leaders: Prime Minister Sergei Aksyonov, parliamentary Speaker Vladimir Konstantinov, First Vice-Premier Rustam Temirgaliyev; Crimean Navy Commander Denis Berezovsky; Mayor of Sevastopol Alexei Chalyi; Security Service Chief Pyotr Zima; Yuri Zherebtsov, adviser to the speaker of the Crimean State Council (parliament); and Sergei Tsekov, the head of the Russian Community of Crimea.
The list also includes 13 Russians: Viktor Zero, the head of the Russian Federation Council Defense Committee; Vladimir Dzhabarov, the first deputy chairman of the Federation Council Committee for International Affairs; Andrei Klishas, the head of the Federation Council Committee for Constitutional Legislation; Nikolai Ryzhkov, a representative of Russia’s Belgorod region at the Federation Council; Evgeny Bushmin, the vice-speaker of the Russian Federation Council; Alexander Totoonov, a member of the Federation Council Committee for Science, Education, Culture and Information Policy; Oleg Panteleyev, the first deputy chairman of the Federation Council Committee for Regulation and Organisation of Parliamentary Activity; Sergei Mironov, the leader of A Just Russia party faction at the Russian State Duma of the Russian Federal Assembly; State Duma Vice-Speaker Sergei Zheleznyak; Leonid Slutsky, the head of the State Duma Committee for CIS Affairs.
Vice-Admiral Alexander Vitko, the Russian Black Sea Fleet commander; Commander of the Western Military District Anatoly Sidorov and Commander of the Southern Military District Alexander Galkin have also been blacklisted.
All officials on the sanctions list have been banned from entering the EU territory for six months. The European Union is also planning to freeze their bank accounts in European banks, if they have them.
The EU Council considers the aforesaid officials to be personally responsible for actions aimed at undermining Ukraine’s territorial integrity.
Dr. Tom is a retired scientist who is now farming on the Big Island of Hawaii.
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